01W on the way?

Posted at by Jams

The first Indian cyclone (01B, named BIJLI) made landfall on Bangladesh last week.

Now convective cells are becoming active in the Pacific, and models like GFS and ECMWF are predicting a Tropical Cyclone to form over the South China Sea after 25th April…

Climatically storms tend to move northeast towards Taiwan or Luzon Strait at this time of the year. Yet, a northward motion is possible if the ridge remains strong to the east. Last year, TY Neoguri has proved the possibility of TC threat in April…

So, stay tuned!!

5 Responses to 01W on the way?

  1. 雷丁 says:
    2009-04-21 at 03:26 UTC

    01w will form at next few days.This is quite surw now.
    However, it still have many difference Changing with the track and strength of it when is becoming Summer form Spring now

  2. Jams says:
    2009-04-21 at 22:12 UTC

    @雷丁
    You can use chinese here~
    There is room for intensification.
    Quite a number of models move the circulation towards Taiwan.

  3. Jams says:
    2009-04-23 at 13:15 UTC

    More clear now.
    NGP predicts a TC to form over the southern/central Philippines 5 days later.

  4. 雷丁 says:
    2009-04-24 at 22:16 UTC

    93w is using a north-westard track to move near the Philippines slowly.

    Maybe 93w will be the 01W or it will have a new centre convection replacing the original one

  5. Jams says:
    2009-05-02 at 16:23 UTC

    And, 01W formed.