ALERT STATUS UPDATE – TY KALMAEGI (T1415/15W) – #03

The alert status is YELLOW… There is an elevated risk that Hong Kong will be affected by a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours…

IR 2014-09-14 1301Z (from NOAA)

IR 2014-09-14 1301Z (from NOAA)

400-850mb Streamline Analysis (from CIMSS)

400-850mb Streamline Analysis (from CIMSS)

ECMWF Ensemble 00Z (from ECMWF)

ECMWF Ensemble 00Z (from ECMWF)

Typhoon KALMAEGI (LuisPH/T1415/15W) has made landfall over eastern Luzon… The storm is now moving across the island…

KALMAEGI’s structure was damaged by the mountainous landscape of Luzon… The central dense overcast has become less organized but convection is still quite strong… The initial intensity used in this alert advisory is lowered to 120 km/h (65 kts)…

Land interaction and reorganization of the storm’s circulation will prevent the storm from intensifying during the night… KALMAEGI will regain strength over the sea tomorrow as it moves away from the Philippines and edges closer to Guangdong…

The Typhoon will move west-northwest and enter the South China Sea before sunrise… The moving speed should be quite fast as the ridge remains strong near Okinawa… KALMAEGI is forecast to pass within 400 km southwest of HK in the early morning of Tuesday… Weather in HK will deteriorate with squally showers coming tomorrow evening… Strong Force winds are anticipated tomorrow night… Please pay attention to the movement of KALMAEGI… Gales are also possible in the morning of Tuesday… Take action to prevent loss…

alert_201415W_03b

LATEST INFORMATION AT 13:00 UTC / 21:00 HKT:
=========================================
Position: 17.7N 121.5E (920 km SE of HK; 298 km NNE of Pampanga, Philippines), overland, based on IR and radar,
Maximum sustained winds: 125 km/h gusting 165 km/h (65G90KT),
Minimum SLP: 970 hPa.

24-HR FORECAST FOR 13:00 UTC / 21:00 HKT:
=====================================
Position: 19.5N 115.1E (326 km SSE of HK),
Maximum sustained winds: 140 km/h gusting 185 km/h (75G100KT).

Wind Speed and Sea Level Pressure 13Z (For reference only)

Wind Speed and Sea Level Pressure 13Z (For reference only)

At 13 UTC / 21 HKT…
Tuguegarao (Philippines) reported a sea level pressure was 987.9 hPa…

The next alert advisory is scheduled for 06:00 UTC / 14:00 HKT tomorrow…

Remember to follow our Facebook page for more instant updates…

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *