ALERT STATUS UPDATE – TS KUJIRA (T1508/08W) – #03

The alert status is now YELLOW… There is an elevated risk that Hong Kong will be affected by a tropical cyclone in the next 48 hours…

ASCAT 2015-06-22 Descending (from NOAA)

ASCAT 2015-06-22 Descending (from NOAA)

VIS 2015-06-22 0532Z (from NRL)

VIS 2015-06-22 0532Z (from NRL)

Tropical Storm KUJIRA (T1508/08W) is moving north away from the Paracel Islands… KUJIRA’s convection is located mainly in the southwest quadrant and its circulation centre is clearly exposed… Northeasterly wind shear of around 20 kts is affecting the storm… The initial intensity of TS KUJIRA is estimated to be 75 km/h (40 kts) (10-min)…

Wind shear and land interaction should prevent KUJIRA from strengthening further… KUJIRA should maintain its present intensity before making landfall…

KUJIRA is heading north and approaching Hainan Island… The cyclone will continue to move north along the western edge of the ridge… towards Hainan… Landfall can be expected later tonight… or in the early morning of  Tuesday…

Showers will continue to affect the coast of Guangdong… Showers can be heavy at times with squally thunderstorms… Strong Force southeasterly winds will prevail over offshore waters and on highlands…  Please take necessary actions to prevent loss if you are facing southeast…

alert_201508W_03a

LATEST INFORMATION AT 05:00 UTC / 13:00 HKT:
=========================================
Position: 18.3N 111.0E (554 km SW of HK; 156 km E of Sanya, Hainan) based on VIS and radar,
Maximum sustained winds: 75 km/h gusting 110 km/h (40G60KT),
Minimum SLP: 988 hPa.

24-HR FORECAST AT 05:00 UTC / 13:00 HKT:
=====================================
Position: 20.7N 110.0E (466 km WSW of HK), overland,
Maximum sustained winds: 65 km/h gusting 100 km/h (35G55KT).

At 06:20 UTC / 14:20 HKT…
HKIA reported southeasterly winds of 25 km/h…

The next alert advisory is scheduled for 14:30 UTC / 22:30 HKT tonight…

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