<<Special Information for the Philippines - #3>>

IR 2016-11-25 1130Z (from NOAA)

IR 2016-11-25 1130Z (from NOAA)

Tropical Storm TOKAGE (MarcePH) is now centred near Coron…

TOKAGE is a small system… A small region of deep convection is found near the centre… The maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be 65 km/h (35 kts)…

Excellent outflow should support further intensification in the next 48 hours… TOKAGE will face severe shear and thus weaken early next week….

TS TOKAGE will move across the Calamian Islands tonight… It will then track further poleward around the edge of the sub-tropical ridge before accelerating to the west-southwest within northeasterly flow next week…

Friends in Mimaropa should be prepared for strong gusts and heavy showers

San Jose reported sea level pressure of 1003.3 hPa at 7 p.m. local time…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-11-25 20:30 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #2>>

IR 2016-11-24 1430Z (from CWB)

IR 2016-11-24 1430Z (from CWB)

Tropical Disturbance 98W (PAGASA Tropical Depression MarcePH) has strengthened into Tropical Depression 29W over southern Philippines… It is located at the vicinity of Leyte…

Increasing… but still disorganzied… convection is found near the low level circulation centre of TD 29W… Earlier ASCAT scan revealed some 25+ kts vectors… The maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be 55 km/h (30 kts)…

Environmental conditions are favourable for development in general… 29W is forecast to consolidate and intensify slowly as it travels across the Philippines… It may become a Tropical Storm (TOKAGE) in 36 hours…

TD 29W will track west-northwest across the Visayas tomorrow… It will then exit the Philippines via Mimaropa…

Due to the combined effect of northeasterly flow and 29W… strong gusts and showers can also be expected in eastern and southern Luzon… Friends in Western Visayas / Mimaropa should prepare for possible Tropical Storm conditions… Residents in Central Visayas / Negros Region / Bicol region / Calabarzon should be aware of strong gusts and heavy showers

Mactan reported sea level pressure of 1005.0 hPa at 10 p.m. local time…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-11-24 22:55 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #1>>

Tropical Disturbance 98W (PAGASA Tropical Depression MarcePH) is moving towards Caraga…

The overall organization of the low pressure system improved slightly in the early morning… Scattered showers are affecting eastern parts of Mindanao and Visayas… Environmental conditions are favourable for development in general… 98W is forecast to consolidate and intensify slowly as it travels across the Philippines…

98W will track west-northwest across northeastern Mindanao / Visayas today and tomorrow… then exit the Philippines via Mimaropa…

Due to the combined effect of northeasterly flow and 98W… strong gusts and showers can also be expected in eastern and southern Luzon… Friends in Caraga / Northern Mindanao / Eastern Visayas / Central Visayas / Western Visayas / Negros Region / Bicol region / Calabarzon / Mimaropa should be prepared for strong gusts and heavy showers

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-11-24 11:05 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #5>>

IR 2016-10-19 1230Z (from NOAA)

IR 2016-10-19 1230Z (from NOAA)

Typhoon HAIMA (T1622/25W/LawinPH) is showing signs of weakening… The storm is located east of Palanan Bay… or about 140 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao… moving west-northwest in the direction of the Cagayan Valley…

HAIMA is still a destructive Typhoon… with maximum sustained wind speed of about 205 km/h (110 kts) (10-min)… Overall structure of HAIMA continues to degrade due to land interactions with Luzon… but please bear in mind that HAIMA is still a destructive storm…

JMA reduced the intensity to 185 km/h (100 kts) at 8 p.m. local time… while PAGASA keeps HAIMA’s strength at 225 km/h…

HAIMA will weaken further after making landfall as it traverses Luzon…

HAIMA is expected to make landfall on Cagayan or Isabela Province later tonight or in the small hours of Thursday… HAIMA will leave Luzon tomorrow morning…

Friends in Cagayan Valley / Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should prepare for Typhoon conditions IMMEDIATELY… Stay in shelters…  DESTRUCTIVE Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of HAIMA… There may be storm surges… Take all necessary measures to prevent loss of lives and properties now… Residents in northern parts of Central Luzon should also pay attention to possible heavy rain and strong gusts…

Expected time of landfall on Cagayan / Isabela:  Later Tonight to Early Thursday morning

Expected time of exiting Ilocos:  Thursday morning

At 8 p.m.. local time… Aparri reported sea level pressure of 996.1 hPa…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-10-19 21:15 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #4>>

VIS 2016-10-19 0800Z (from NOAA)

VIS 2016-10-19 0800Z (from NOAA)

Typhoon HAIMA (T1622/25W/LawinPH) is centred at about 270 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao… The cyclone is moving west-northwest in the direction of the Cagayan Valley…

HAIMA is a destructive Typhoon with maximum sustained wind speed of about 220 km/h (120 kts) (10-min)… Overall structure of HAIMA appears to be degrading due to land interactions with Luzon… The eyewall weakened slightly but please bear in mind that HAIMA is still a destructive storm…

There may be flctuations in intensity in the next 12 hours but further strengthening is unlikely to occur… HAIMA will weaken after making landfall…

A steering ridge is centred south of Japan… extending westward into southeastern China… HAIMA is expected to move west-northwest and make landfall on Cagayan or Isabela Province later tonight or in the small hours of Thursday… The storm will leave Luzon tomorrow morning…

Friends in Cagayan Valley / Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should be prepared for Typhoon conditions IMMEDIATELY… Stay in shelters…  DESTRUCTIVE Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of HAIMA… There may be storm surges… Take all necessary measures to prevent loss of lives and properties now… Residents in northern parts of Central Luzon should also pay attention to possible heavy rain and strong gusts…

Expected time of landfall on Cagayan / Isabela:  Later Tonight to Early Thursday morning

Expected time of exiting Ilocos:  Thursday morning

At 4 p.m.. local time… Aparri reported sea level pressure of 1000.2 hPa…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

The next report will be issued at or before 10 p.m. local time tonight…

2016-10-19 16:45 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #3>>

MW 2016-10-18 2257Z (from NRL)

MW 2016-10-18 2257Z (from NRL)

Typhoon HAIMA (T1622/25W/LawinPH) is centred at about 470 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao… The cyclone is moving west in the general direction of the Cagayan Valley…

HAIMA is a destructive Typhoon with maximum sustained wind speed of about 210 km/h (115 kts) (10-min)… The eyewall seems to be contracting… An OW eye surrounded by W shade yields a DT of 6.5… Raw T# was 6.6 at 01:10 UTC…

There may be flctuations in intensity in the next 18 hours but further strengthening is unlikely to occur… HAIMA will weaken after making landfall…

A steering ridge is centred south of Japan… extending westward into southeastern China… HAIMA is expected to move west or west-northwest at about 25 to 28 km/h today… HAIMA will make landfall on Cagayan or Isabela Province later tonight or in the small hours of Thursday… The storm will emerge into the South China Sea tomorrow morning…

Friends in Cagayan Valley / Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should be prepared for Typhoon conditions IMMEDIATELY… DESTRUCTIVE Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of HAIMA… There may be storm surges of 1.0 m or above… Residents in northern parts of Central Luzon should also pay attention to possible heavy rain and strong gusts…

Expected time of landfall on Cagayan / Isabela:  Later Tonight to Early Thursday morning

Expected time of exiting Ilocos:  Thursday morning

At 9 a.m. local time… Baler reported sea level pressure of 1003.7 hPa…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-10-19 10:00 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #2>>

VIS 2016-10-18 0130Z (from NOAA)

VIS 2016-10-18 0130Z (from NOAA)

Typhoon HAIMA (T1622/25W/LawinPH) is centred at about 1100 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao… The cyclone is moving west-northwest in the general direction of the Cagayan Valley…

HAIMA is a destructive Typhoon with maximum sustained wind speed of about 185 km/h (100 kts) (10-min)… The eye remains ragged but well-defined… An OW eye is surrounded by a B ring at this moment…

HAIMA should be able to strengthen further in the next 36 hours as environmental conditions are favourable… Both HWRF and JGSM indicate a further 20+ kts intensification prior to landfall…

A steering high is found over Okinawa… HAIMA is expected to move west or west-northwest at a slightly faster pace… about 25 to 28 km/h in the next 48 hours… Landfall on Cagayan or Isabela Province is likely on early Thursday morning…

Friends in Cagayan Valley / Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should be prepared for Typhoon conditions late Wednesday and Thursday… DESTRUCTIVE Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of HAIMA… There may be storm surges of 1.0 m or above… This surge figure will be revised later when HAIMA nears Luzon… Residents in northern parts of Central Luzon should also pay attention to possible heavy rain and strong gusts…

Expected time of landfall on Cagayan / Isabela:  Early Thursday morning

Expected time of exiting Ilocos:  Thursday morning

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-10-18 10:25 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #1>>

VIS 2016-10-17 0650Z (from HKO)

VIS 2016-10-17 0650Z (from HKO)

Typhoon HAIMA (T1622/25W/LawinPH) is centred at about 1560 km east-southeast of Tuguegarao… The cyclone is moving west-northwest over the Philippine Sea… in the general direction of northern Luzon…

HAIMA is a dangerous Typhoon… A small but ragged eye… which is surrounded by a BLK ring… is observed on IR and VIS… The maximum sustained wind speed is estimated to be about 150 km/h (80 kts) (10-min)… Raw T# was 6.2 at 06:30 UTC…

Good outflow and high sea surface temperatures support further intensification… HAIMA can reach an intensity of 185 km/h (100 kts) or above in 2 days…

The ridge to the north of HAIMA will move the cyclone west-northwestward at about 22 to 25 km/h… The Typhoon may make landfall on northeastern Luzon… likely Cagayan Province… on Thursday morning…

Friends in Cagayan Valley / Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should be prepared for Typhoon conditions late Wednesday and Thursday… DESTRUCTIVE Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of HAIMA…

Expected time of landfall on Cagayan:  Early Thursday morning

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-10-17 15:20 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #4>>

VIS 2016-10-15 0150Z (NRL)

VIS 2016-10-15 0150Z (NRL)

Severe Tropical Storm SARIKA (T1621/KarenPH) is now a Typhoon… The centre of storm is found just north-northeast of Catanduanes…

A cloud-filled eye is now observed on VIS imagery… Virac radar reveals SARIKA’s tightly curved inner rainbands… The maximum sustained wind speed near the eye is estimated to be about 130 km/h (70 kts) (10-min)…

Upper level ventilation remains good… SARIKA is expected to intensify further today… reaching a max intensity of 150 km/h (80 kts) or above prior to landfall…

The low to mid level steering ridge should push SARIKA to the west-northwest towards Central Luzon… SARIKA will pass very close to… just north of… Catanduanes in the next few hours… The cyclone will then make its way to Polillo Island… Landfall on Quezon or Aurora Province is expected early tomorrow morning…

Friends in Bicol Region / Calabarzon / NCR / Central Luzon / southern parts of Cordillera AR / Ilocos Region should be prepared for Typhoon conditions… DAMAGING Hurricane Force winds will be observed along the path of SARIKA… SARIKA is becoming a dangerous Typhoon… Residents in Eastern Visayas / Mimaropa should also be aware of the heavy rain and strong winds…

Expected time of landfall on Quezon / Aurora:  Early Sunday morning

At 10 a.m…. Virac reported SLP of 993.8 hPa… More than 400 mm of rainfall was recorded…

The above info is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-10-15 10:55 local time