<<Special Information for the Philippines - #6>>

 

VIS 2016-09-14 0130Z (from CWB)

VIS 2016-09-14 0130Z (from CWB)

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) is leaving Batanes… The cyclone is located at about 190 km NW of Basco now…

MERANTI will go on moving northwest away from the Philippines… It is expected to exit the PAR in the early afternoon…

Please note that Gales may still affect parts of Batanes today…

Meanwhile… Typhoon MALAKAS (T1616/18W/GenerPH) will turn to the northwest and threaten Miyako and Yaeyama Islands… It won’t make landfall on the Philippines…

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-09-14 09:50 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #5>>

IR 2016-09-13 1630Z (from CWB)

IR 2016-09-13 1630Z (from CWB)

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) is passing N of Batan Island… Itbayat Island is in MERANTI’s eye now…

 
At midnight local time… Basco Radar reported SLP of 935.4 hPa… North-northwesterly winds reached 144 km/h (40 m/s)…
 
MERANTI continued to gain strength this evening… The eye is perfectly well-defined and warm… Maximum sustained wind speed near the eye is estimated to be about 225 km/h (120 kts) (10-min)… Minimum sea level pressure is around 890 hPa…
 
MERANTI should be keep its strength in the next 12 hours as it crosses Batanes… It should then start weakening due to slightly unfavourable environmental conditions over the SCS and proximity to Taiwan
 
Typhoon MERANTI will go on moving west-northwest steadily across the Luzon Strait along the southern edge of the sub-tropical ridge extending into the East China Sea… The eye of MERANTI will move over Itbayat Island in the next couple of hours…
 
There may be storm surge of 2.0m of above in Batanes… especially on the Batan and Itbayat Islands… Please take extra care… Destructive Hurricane Force winds will affect the region… Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS conditions… with strong winds and heavy rain… Take all necessary precautions IMMEDIATELY if you are in Batanes or along the northern coast of #Luzon… You should be reading this in a sheltered location…
 
This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…
 
2016-09-14 01:00 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #4>>

IR 2016-09-13 1350Z

IR 2016-09-13 1350Z

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) is located at about 60 km ENE of Basco now…

At 10 p.m. local time… Basco Radar reported SLP of 967.2 hPa… Northerly winds reached 126 km/h (35 m/s)…

MERANTI continued to gain strength this evening… The eye is perfectly well-defined and warm… Maximum sustained wind speed near the eye is estimated to be about 225 km/h (120 kts) (10-min)… Minimum sea level pressure is around 890 hPa…

MERANTI should be keep its strength in the next 12 hours as it hits Batanes… It should then start weakening due to slightly unfavourable environmental conditions over the SCS and proximity to Taiwan…

Typhoon MERANTI will go on moving west-northwest steadily across the Luzon Strait along the southern edge of the sub-tropical ridge extending into the East China Sea… The eye or the eyewall of Typhoon will hit Batan and Itbayat Islands in the small hours of Wednesday… Itbayat appears to be directly under the path of MERANTI…

There may be storm surge of 2.0m of above in Batanes… especially on the Batan and Itbayat Islands… Please take extra care…  Destructive Hurricane Force winds will affect the region… Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS conditions… with strong winds and heavy rain… Take all necessary precautions IMMEDIATELY if you are in Batanes or along the northern coast of Luzon… You should be reading this in a sheltered location…

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-09-13 22:35 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #3>>

VIS 2016-09-13 0650Z

VIS 2016-09-13 0650Z

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) is located at about 190 km E of Basco now… The CDO/eyewall has been intensifying again during the past 6 hours… A warm WMG eye is found within CMG shade… DT is 7.5… Maximum sustained wind speed near the eye is estimated to be about 215 km/h (115 kts) (10-min)… JTWC gave 160 kts (1-min) at 06Z…

MERANTI should be keep its strength in the next 24 hours as it travels over the Luzon Strait… It should then start weakening due to slightly unfavourable environmental conditions over the SCS…

MERANTI will go on moving west-northwest steadily across the Luzon Strait along the southern edge of the sub-tropical ridge extending into the East China Sea… The eye or the eyewall of Typhoon will hit Batanes directly early tomorrow morning…

Storm surge of 2.0m of above is possible in Batanes… especially on the Batan Islands… Please take extra care…  Hurricane Force winds will affect the region… Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS conditions… with strong winds and heavy rain… Take all necessary precautions IMMEDIATELY if you are in Batanes or along the northern coast of Luzon…

At 3 p.m. local time… Basco Radar reported SLP of 997.7 hPa…

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-09-13 15:50 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #2>>

VIS 2016-09-13 0110Z (from RAMMB)

VIS 2016-09-13 0110Z (from RAMMB)

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) is located at about 340 km ESE of Basco now… It is now a 215 km/h (115 kt) (10-min) cyclone… The CDO warmed slightly during the night but the eye remained clear and very warm… DT is 7.0 based on WMG eye and W ring…

MERANTI should be keep its strength in the next 24 hours as it travels over the warm Luzon Strait… Later it should start weakening due to slightly unfavourable environmental conditions…

MERANTI will go on moving west-northwest steadily across the Luzon Strait along the southern edge of the sub-tropical ridge extending into the East China Sea… The Typhoon will hit Batanes directly tonight / early tomorrow morning…

Storm surge of 1.0m of above is possible in Batanes… Please take extra care…  Hurricane Force winds will affect the region… Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS conditions… with strong winds and heavy rain… Take all necessary precautions IMMEDIATELY if you are in Batanes or along the northern coast of Luzon…

At 9 a.m. local time… Basco Radar reported SLP of 1005.4 hPa…

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-09-13 10:10 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #1>>

IR 2016-09-12 1030Z (from NOAA)

IR 2016-09-12 1030Z (from NOAA)

Typhoon MERANTI (T1614/16W/FerdiePH) continues to strengthen… The CDO deepened further… The eye became clear and it is now a small WMG eye surrounded by a CMG ring… This corresponds to a DT of 7.5… Latest ADT Raw T# was 7.2 at 11:00 UTC…

Maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be about 195 km/h (105 kts) (10-min)… MERANTI should be able to intensify further over the warm Philippine Sea in the next 24 hours…

MERANTI is forecast to move west-northwest across the Luzon Strait… It will hit Batanes directly tomorrow evening / on Wednesday morning… The chance of landfall over Luzon is not high…

Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS conditions… with strong winds and heavy rain… Take all necessary precautions IMMEDIATELY if you are in Batanes or along the northern coast of Luzon…

 

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-09-12 19:50 local time

<<Special Information for the ‪#‎Philippines‬ - #3>>

VIS 2016-07-30 0300Z (from NRL)

VIS 2016-07-30 0300Z (from NRL)

 
NIDA (T1604 / 06W / ‪CarinaPH‬) is now a Severe Tropical Storm… moving northwest towards northern #Luzon… It is located just off the coast of Cagayan Valley…
 
Deep convection started to build and increase over the low level circulation centre yesterday … Since then NIDA has been strengthening steadily… Microwave imagery reveals its thick and tightly curved bands… Maximum sustained wind speed is estimated to be about 90 km/h (50 kts)…
 
STS NIDA has accelerated a bit after making a northwestward turn towards northern Luzon… The storm is forecast to make landfall on ‪#Cagayan‬ Valley in the afternoon…
 
There is good upper level outflow to support further intensification… Sea surface temperatures are very high around the Philippines (about 30 degrees)… In the next 12 hours or so… development will be limited by land interaction with Luzon… NIDA will strengthen further into a Typhoon after it enters the South China Sea…
 
Friends in northern Philippines… especially Cagayan Valley / ‪‎CAR‬ / ‪‎Ilocos‬ Region / Central Luzon should also be prepared for TS or Typhoon conditions… Be prepared for heavy rain and flashfloods…
 
Expect time of landfall on Cagayan‬: Sunday afternoon
 
Expect time of leaving Luzon: Sunday late night to Monday early morning
 
At noon… Aparri reported sea level pressure of 994.3 hPa…
 
This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…
 
2016-07-31 12:50 local time

<<Special Information for the ‪#‎Philippines‬ - #2>>

Tropical Depression 06W (pre-‪#‎NIDA‬ / ‪#‎CarinaPH‬) is moving north-northwest over the Philippine Sea… It is located at ~230 km away from the coast of eastern ‪#‎Samar‬…

TD 06W is trying to consolidate… VIS shows a partially-exposed circulation centre… Deep convection is found on the northwestern quadrant… Maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be about 55 km/h (30 kts)…

TD 96W will move north-northwest initially… followed by a gradual turn to the northwest towards northern ‪#‎Luzon‬ as the cyclone gains latitude… Landfall on ‪#‎Cagayan‬ Valley is possible late Sunday or early Monday… In case the turn begins later than expected… the storm will move over ‪#‎Batanes‬ instead…

06W will then head west-northwest or northwest towards Guangdong, ‪#‎China‬…
There is good upper level outflow to support further intensification… 96W should become TS #NIDA later today… It may make landfall over Luzon as a Severe Tropical Storm…

Friends in northern Philippines… especially Cagayan Valley / ‪#‎CAR‬ / ‪#‎Ilocos‬ Region should also be prepared for TS or Typhoon conditions… The rest of the country should be alerted that heavy showers and flashfloods may affect you…

Expect time of landfall on #Cagayan / ‪#‎Isabela‬: Sunday evening to Monday morning

Expect time of leaving Luzon: Monday afternoon

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-07-30 11:00 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #1>>

ASCAT 2016-07-29 0051Z

ASCAT 2016-07-29 0051Z

Tropical Disturbance 96W has strengthened into a Tropical Depression… named CarinaPH by PAGASA…

ASCAT pass a few hours ago showed a rapidly improving low level structure… observed also on VIS animation and latest microwave scans… The Depression is broad and consolidation takes time… Sprial convection is developing around the centre… Maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be about 45 km/h (25 kts)…

TD 96W is forecast to move northwest or north-northwest initially… towards northern Luzon… Landfall is possible on Sunday… We will update you from time to time…

There is good upper level outflow to support further intensification… 96W may become TS #NIDA within 48 hours… Friends in northern Philippines should also be prepared for TS or Typhoon conditions during the weekend… As the system is large… the rest of the country should be alerted that heavy showers and flashfloods may affect you…

Expect time of landfall on Cagayan Valley: Sunday afternoon to early Monday morning

Expect time of leaving Luzon: Monday morning to Monday afternoon

This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…

2016-06-26 13:30 local time

<<Special Information for the Philippines - #3>>

VIS 2016-06-26 2350Z (from NRL)

VIS 2016-06-26 2350Z (from NRL)

Tropical Depression 97W (AmboPH) moved over Luzon during the night and it’s now located over the South China Sea… 
 
97W’s high forward speed hindered development… During the past few hours… disorganized convection persisted around a mid-level circulation centre found west of Luzon… Maximum sustained wind speed around the centre is estimated to be about 45 km/h (25 kts)…  It’s interesting to note that JMA kept their Gale Warning at 8 a.m. while PAGASA downgraded 97W into a Low Pressure Area…
TD 97W should move west-northwest or northwest towards southern China…
The system should remain rather weak…
This is the final special report for the Philippines regarding TC 97W…
This is for reference only… Please always check also the latest official cyclone updates from PAGASA…
 
2016-06-27 09:40 local time